Jim Rickards: The C.I.A. Told Me The U.S. Will Attack North Korea BY MARCH

by Jim Rickards via Daily Reckoning
Bitcoin, stock bubbles, gold, Fed interest rate decisions, global recovery, and emerging markets debt problems dominate financial discussions today.
Which of these is the most important?
The answer is, ‘none of the above’.
The most important financial or geopolitical issue in the world today is a coming war between the U.S. and North Korea, probably in the next twelve weeks.
How can I be so sure about the timing? The Director of the Central Intelligence Agency told me.
In a private conclave in Washington DC on October 20, 2017, CIA Director Mike Pompeo told a small think tank group (including me) that it would be imprudent to assume it would take North Korea more than ‘five months’ to have a reliable arsenal of nuclear-armed ICBM missiles. These could strike U.S. cities and kill millions of Americans.
Five months from October 20, 2017 is March 20, 2018. That’s an outside date but the war will likely begin before then.
That would create an element of surprise — and avoid the surprise of a faster than expected deployment of strategic weapons by North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
Why can’t the U.S. just live with a nuclear
armed North Korea?
We managed to live with a nuclear armed Russia and China during the Cold War.
We relied on deterrence, containment, sanctions, diplomacy, and eventually arms treaties to avoid a nuclear war. Why not do the same with Kim?
President Trump’s National Security Advisor, General H. R. McMaster answered that question at our Washington conclave also.
He said acceptance of a nuclear-armed North Korea is ‘unacceptable’. The U.S. will stop North Korea from acquiring its nuclear capability in the first place rather than learning to live it.
The reasons for this are many. None of the other nuclear-armed powers ever threatened to attack the United States unless attacked first.
North Korea has threatened to attack and destroy the U.S. many times. The best approach for dealing with threats from dictators is to take them at their word.
Adolph Hitler told the world in the 1920s that he would unite Germany, conquer Europe and kill Jews. He did so in the 1930s and 1940s.
Osama bin Laden declared war on the United States in 1996 and again in 1998. In 2001 he attacked New York and Washington and left thousands of Americans dead in Manhattan, Virginia and Pennsylvania.
When Kim Jong Un says he will attack the United States with nuclear weapons, it is reckless to believe otherwise.
Other consequences of a nuclear-armed North Korea include the acquisition of nuclear weapons by Japan and South Korea (for defensive reasons), and Iran (for offensive reasons, using technology provided by North Korea).
Once Iran has nuclear weapons, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey will follow. In short, a nuclear-armed North Korea leads quickly to nuclear weapons in six other countries, many mutually hostile to each other and the U.S.
That kind of proliferation exponentially increases the odds of a nuclear war between one or more of these countries sooner than later.
That’s one more reason to draw a line in the sand and not allow North Korea to have nukes in the first place.
Is Kim Jong Un crazy?
The U.S intelligence community does not believe so. They estimate that Kim is a rational actor, albeit rational within his own limited field of vision.
Kim saw that Libyan leader Qaddafi gave up his nuclear weapons. Libya was then invaded by NATO, and Qaddafi was killed.
Iraq’s Saddam Hussein had a nuclear weapons program in the 1980s, which he gave up after the first Gulf War. Years later a U.S. coalition invaded Iraq and Saddam was hanged.
Ukraine gave up nuclear weapons it acquired after the break-up of the former Soviet Union. Later Russia invaded Ukraine, annexed Crimea and occupied parts of Eastern Ukraine.
Iran has a nuclear weapons program that it has not given up. The mullahs who rule Iran are still standing.
The lesson for Kim is clear. If you give up nuclear weapons, the West will invade you and kill you. If you keep your nuclear weapons, the West will leave you alone.
Therefore, Kim feels safer with his nuclear weapons than without. That’s not crazy; its prima facie rational based on the evidence. Kim will continue his weapons program.
Is Kim posturing just to get sanctions relief? No. Kim could have sanctions relief at any time with a phone call to Washington. He just has to discontinue his weapons programs.
Kim does not have to go to such great lengths including an H-bomb test, ICBM tests, and development of nuclear-armed submarines just to get sanctions relief. He’s in ‘breakout’ mode and going for a robust nuclear weapons capability.
Doesn’t Kim understand the damage he will
suffer if the U.S. attacks?
In the first place, Kim believes we’re bluffing. He bases that partly on Obama’s failed ‘red line’ on Syrian use of chemical and biological weapons.
Syria used the weapons anyway, and Obama did nothing. Kim took notes. He believes the U.S. is a paper tiger.
Will China help the U.S. assassinate Kim and force regime change in North Korea? The answer is no. China does not want to destabilize North Korea because they fear a flood of refugees into China.
They also fear a reunification of the Korean peninsula on terms favourable to the U.S. if the Kim regime is destabilized.
China also believes the U.S. is bluffing. I learned this recently during lunch at an exclusive club in Washington DC with one of the top geopolitical strategists in China and an advisor to the Chinese leadership.
What about collateral damage to South Korea
and possibly Japan?
The potential damage is real, but the U.S. sees that as a necessary cost of ending the North Korean threat once and for all.
No American flag officer will trade Seattle for Seoul. We live in a new hard-nosed ‘America First’ world.
The South Koreans and Japanese understand this. That’s why they’re cooperating with us in ending the threat from North Korea.
The situation will not improve for them if we do nothing. Once North Korea has a nuclear arsenal, blackmail of Japan, and an invasion of South Korea are just a matter of time.
The U.S. hopes to mitigate the collateral damage with a fearsome combination of cyber-warfare, psychological warfare, special operations, massive bombing, and limited air and amphibious invasion.
The U.S. also has secret weapons technology including the hypersonic Waverider drone (launched from B-52 mother ships) and a microwave drone than can ‘fry North Korean missile launching systems. When the war starts, North Korea won’t know what hit them.
I assess the probable outcomes in North Korea as follows:

10% chance Kim Jong Un stands down and allows weapons inspections
20% chance Kim is assassinated and regime change occurs
0% chance the U.S. accepts a nuclear-armed North Korea
70% chance of war before mid-March, 2018.

The market is not even close to pricing in these probabilities. The market will begin to do so as the D-Day draws near, and the signals become clear.
What about the stock market?
A war with North Korea does not necessarily imply a stock market crash.
In fact, wars have historically been good for stocks as defence contractors, manufacturers, miners, technology firms and other sectors ramp up to meet wartime demands.
War also typically results in inflation as the Fed stays on hold in terms of nominal interest rates and capacity constraints are hit.
The government can delay inflation with wage and price controls, but it always emerges sooner or later as it did in 1919 and 1946 after the First and Second World Wars respectively, and again in the late 1970s after the Vietnam War.
The biggest winner will be gold both because of its safe haven status, and because it offers a hedge against inflation.
Fundamentals already favour gold, but a war with North Korea is likely to result in a super-spike.
The mainstream media are not telling you this war is coming. The stock market is not telling you this war is coming.
I am telling you the war is coming, but I’m not alone. The President, Secretary of Defense, Secretary of State, Director of the CIA, and the National Security Advisor are all saying the same thing. It’s just that no one is listening.




















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Jim Rickards -- 13 June 2017 -- FED Rate hike

Jim Rickards -- 13 June 2017 -- FED Rate hike







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JIM RICKARDS The Collapse We Talked About Has Begun, Get Ready America

James Rickards is the Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a financial newsletter, and Director of The James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics + global capital. He is the author of The New Case for Gold (April 2016), and two New York Times best sellers, The Death of Money (2014), and Currency Wars (2011) from Penguin Random House. He is a portfolio manager, lawyer, and economist, and has held senior positions at Citibank, Long-Term Capital Management, and Caxton Associates. In 1998, he was the principal negotiator of the rescue of LTCM sponsored by the Federal Reserve. His clients include institutional investors and government directorates.

He is an Op-Ed contributor to the Financial Times, Evening Standard, New York Times, and Washington Post, and has been interviewed on BBC, CNN, NPR, CSPAN, CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox, and The Wall Street Journal. Mr. Rickards is a guest lecturer in globalization and finance at The Johns Hopkins University, The Kellogg School at Northwestern, and the School of Advanced International Studies. He has delivered papers on risk at Singularity University, the Applied Physics Laboratory, and the Los Alamos National Laboratory. He is an advisor on capital markets to the U.S. intelligence community, and the Office of the Secretary of Defense, and is on the Advisory Board of the Center on Sanctions & Illicit Finance in Washington DC. Mr. Rickards holds an LL.M. (Taxation) from the NYU School of Law; a J.D. from the University of Pennsylvania Law School; an M.A. in international economics from SAIS, and a B.A. (with honors) from Johns Hopkins. He lives in Connecticut.


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Jim Rickards : Super NOVA started Get Ready!

James Rickards is the Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a financial newsletter, and Director of The James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics + global capital. He is the author of The New Case for Gold (April 2016), and two New York Times best sellers, The Death of Money (2014), and Currency Wars (2011) from Penguin Random House. He is a portfolio manager, lawyer, and economist, and has held senior positions at Citibank, Long-Term Capital Management, and Caxton Associates. In 1998, he was the principal negotiator of the rescue of LTCM sponsored by the Federal Reserve. His clients include institutional investors and government directorates.

He is an Op-Ed contributor to the Financial Times, Evening Standard, New York Times, and Washington Post, and has been interviewed on BBC, CNN, NPR, CSPAN, CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox, and The Wall Street Journal. Mr. Rickards is a guest lecturer in globalization and finance at The Johns Hopkins University, The Kellogg School at Northwestern, and the School of Advanced International Studies. He has delivered papers on risk at Singularity University, the Applied Physics Laboratory, and the Los Alamos National Laboratory. He is an advisor on capital markets to the U.S. intelligence community, and the Office of the Secretary of Defense, and is on the Advisory Board of the Center on Sanctions & Illicit Finance in Washington DC. Mr. Rickards holds an LL.M. (Taxation) from the NYU School of Law; a J.D. from the University of Pennsylvania Law School; an M.A. in international economics from SAIS, and a B.A. (with honors) from Johns Hopkins. He lives in Connecticut.





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Jim Rickards 'Listen Up The Financial Elite Will Soon Prevent You Accessing Your Own Money'

James Rickards is the Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a financial newsletter, and Director of The James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics + global capital. He is the author of The New Case for Gold (April 2016), and two New York Times best sellers, The Death of Money (2014), and Currency Wars (2011) from Penguin Random House. He is a portfolio manager, lawyer, and economist, and has held senior positions at Citibank, Long-Term Capital Management, and Caxton Associates. In 1998, he was the principal negotiator of the rescue of LTCM sponsored by the Federal Reserve. His clients include institutional investors and government directorates.

He is an Op-Ed contributor to the Financial Times, Evening Standard, New York Times, and Washington Post, and has been interviewed on BBC, CNN, NPR, CSPAN, CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox, and The Wall Street Journal. Mr. Rickards is a guest lecturer in globalization and finance at The Johns Hopkins University, The Kellogg School at Northwestern, and the School of Advanced International Studies. He has delivered papers on risk at Singularity University, the Applied Physics Laboratory, and the Los Alamos National Laboratory. He is an advisor on capital markets to the U.S. intelligence community, and the Office of the Secretary of Defense, and is on the Advisory Board of the Center on Sanctions & Illicit Finance in Washington DC. Mr. Rickards holds an LL.M. (Taxation) from the NYU School of Law; a J.D. from the University of Pennsylvania Law School; an M.A. in international economics from SAIS, and a B.A. (with honors) from Johns Hopkins. He lives in Connecticut.



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Jim Rickards Warns : Get Your Money out of The Banks Now

Jim Rickards 'Listen Up! The Financial Elite Will Soon Prevent You Accessing Your Own Money!'







James Rickards is the Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a financial newsletter, and Director of The James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics + global capital. He is the author of The New Case for Gold (April 2016), and two New York Times best sellers, The Death of Money (2014), and Currency Wars (2011) from Penguin Random House. He is a portfolio manager, lawyer, and economist, and has held senior positions at Citibank, Long-Term Capital Management, and Caxton Associates. In 1998, he was the principal negotiator of the rescue of LTCM sponsored by the Federal Reserve. His clients include institutional investors and government directorates.

He is an Op-Ed contributor to the Financial Times, Evening Standard, New York Times, and Washington Post, and has been interviewed on BBC, CNN, NPR, CSPAN, CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox, and The Wall Street Journal. Mr. Rickards is a guest lecturer in globalization and finance at The Johns Hopkins University, The Kellogg School at Northwestern, and the School of Advanced International Studies. He has delivered papers on risk at Singularity University, the Applied Physics Laboratory, and the Los Alamos National Laboratory. He is an advisor on capital markets to the U.S. intelligence community, and the Office of the Secretary of Defense, and is on the Advisory Board of the Center on Sanctions & Illicit Finance in Washington DC. Mr. Rickards holds an LL.M. (Taxation) from the NYU School of Law; a J.D. from the University of Pennsylvania Law School; an M.A. in international economics from SAIS, and a B.A. (with honors) from Johns Hopkins. He lives in Connecticut.



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Jim Rickards On Trump, The Coming Crash, Bail-Ins, Cashless Society & What We Can Do

Jim Rickards is Wonderful---Erudite, Experienced, Shrewd, Wise, and able to convey Complex Information in a way that Ordinary People can Understand and find Fascinating. Please as soon as possible ASK JIM RICKARDS whether American CREDIT UNIONS will be closed too, and whether you can put a little Cash in a Credit Union Safety Deposit Box so that it will be Safe and Accessible during the next Financial Crisis? Credit Unions are part of the Financial System, so it sounds like the Credit Unions will definitely be Closed/Shutdown too, even though Credit Unions are not considered part of the problem-plagued "Banking System." For example, Credit Unions are structured differently from Banks; Credit Unions have Members, whereas Banks answer to Shareholders. When you Deposit your Money in a Bank, that Money legally becomes the property of the Bank and the Depositor becomes an Unsecured Creditor; however I think perhaps Credit Union Members legally retain Ownership of their Deposited Money. I think that the same is probably true regarding Items that a Bank or Credit Union Patron places in a Safety Deposit Box; I think the Bank owns the Box contents and the Patron is an Unsecured Creditor, whereas I think the Credit Union Patron legally retains Ownership of the Box's Contents. The Laws that apply to Banks do not always apply to Credit Unions; supposedly Dodd-Frank does not apply to Credit Unions, so Credit Unions will not be subject to Bail-ins. During a Bank Failure Banks can withhold Patrons Deposited Money, and I think withhold Patrons' Items in Safety Deposit Boxes. (Many Bank Patrons in Greece are being Denied access their Safety Deposit Box Items). However if a Credit Union Fails, I think Patrons are at least entitled to the return of their Safety Deposit Box Contents. Also, Credit Unions do not engage in DERIVATIVE BETS. And most Credit Unions do not do Overnight Sweeps of their money into Banks. So how VULNERABLE will CREDIT UNIONS be during the next Financial Crisis---in the early stages and in the long run? . Exactly what types of Financial Institutions will be Shut-down during the next Financial Crisis? . I can understand Banks (ATMs, Checks, Credit Cards, Debit Cards, Bank Teller Window Transactions, etc.) and Wall Street type Institutions being Shutdown. Also probably Insurance Companies will Shutdown. But exactly what other Financial Institutions and Financial Services will Shutdown?. It simply seems that at the very least, there is no practical reason for Credit Unions to deny Members access to their Credit Union Safety Deposit Boxes. However, if Bank and Credit Union Safety Deposit Boxes will be Unsafe and Inaccessible during the next Financial Crisis, then Exactly WHICH Private Vault Companies or whatever else will keep a little of my Cash etc. Safe and Accessible during the next Financial Crisis; please give names, locations, and contact info for HONEST, RELIABLE, SAFE Vault Companies.






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Jim Rickards day after plan

Jim Rickards is the editor of Strategic Intelligence, the latest newsletter from Agora Financial. He is an American lawyer, economist, and investment banker with 35 years of experience working in capital markets on Wall Street. He was the principal negotiator of the rescue of Long-Term Capital Management L.P. (LTCM) by the U.S Federal Reserve in 1998. His clients include institutional investors and government directorates. His work is regularly featured in the Financial Times, Evening Standard, New York Times, The Telegraph, and Washington Post, and he is frequently a guest on BBC, RTE Irish National Radio, CNN, NPR, CSPAN, CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox, and The Wall Street Journal. He has contributed as an advisor on capital markets to the U.S. intelligence community, and at the Office of the Secretary of Defense in the Pentagon. Rickards is the author of The New Case for Gold (April 2016), and three New York Times best sellers, The Death of Money (2014), Currency Wars (2011), The Road to Ruin (2016) from Penguin Random House.





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Brace Yourself For Anything - All Bets Are Off: Jim Rickards

Everyone should understand the implications for a falling dollar.









A good look at the current economic challenges. In depth and well researched, this book also takes a broader look at what is really happening around the world and to our monetary systems. The section on China was particularly illuminating, while the chapters at the end suggest ways of protecting your investments through a monetary collapse.









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Jim Rickards - Road to Ruin - Animated Book Summary

 The Road to Ruin is Jim Rickards new book about the elites plan for the next financial crisis.

Building on his previous two books (Currency Wars, and Death of the Dollar (which is more accurately referred to as ""The Likely Severe Loss of Confidence of the Current International Monetary System and it's Likely Replacements & What You Can Do To Protect Your Savings"") this book explores how the next crisis will actually play out. Why it won't be solved by injecting more liquidity (as in 2008), but will rather be addressed with something cryptically referred to as ICE-9.











The Road to Ruin: The Global Elites' Secret Plan for the Next Financial Crisis

The bestselling author of The Death of Money and Currency Wars reveals the global elites' dark effort to hide a coming catastrophe from investors in The Road to Ruin, now a National Bestseller.

A drumbeat is sounding among the global elites. The signs of a worldwide financial meltdown are unmistakable. This time, the elites have an audacious plan to protect themselves from the fallout: hoarding cash now and locking down the global financial system when a crisis hits.

Since 2014, international monetary agencies have been issuing warnings to a small group of finance ministers, banks, and private equity funds: the U.S. government’s cowardly choices not to prosecute J.P. Morgan and its ilk, and to bloat the economy with a $4 trillion injection of easy credit, are driving us headlong toward a cliff.

As Rickards shows in this frightening, meticulously researched book, governments around the world have no compunction about conspiring against their citizens. They will have stockpiled hard assets when stock exchanges are closed, ATMs shut down, money market funds frozen, asset managers instructed not to sell securities, negative interest rates imposed, and cash withdrawals denied.

If you want to plan for the risks ahead, you will need Rickards’s cutting-edge synthesis of behavioral economics, history, and complexity theory. It’s a guidebook to thinking smarter, acting faster, and living with the comfort­ing knowledge that your wealth is secure.

The global elites don’t want this book to exist. Their plan to herd us like sheep to the slaughter when a global crisis erupts—and, of course, to maintain their wealth—works only if we remain complacent and unaware. Thanks to The Road to Ruin, we don’t need to be.







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Jim Rickard's Shocking Warning : We Are entering The Darkest Economic Collapse

Jim Rickard's Final Warning. Gold Market Set Up For BIG Move Higher. This has never happened before in 16 years.













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The Great Repression Conference -- Jim Rickards, Jim Rogers

The Great Repression Conference - Highlights Reel - Jim Rickards, Jim Rogers










Presenters included: Vern Gowdie, Author of End of Australia Editor of The Gowdie Letter and Gowdie Family Wealth. Dan Denning Satyajit Das, author of Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives; Extreme Money: The Masters of the Universe and the Cult of Risk; and A Banquet of Consequences: Have We Consumed Our Own Future? Jim Rogers, Creator of the Rogers International Commodities Index and Chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests, Inc. Author of Adventure Capitalist, Hot Commodities, A Bull in China, A Father’s Lesson for Life and Investing and Street Smarts: Adventures on the Road and in the Markets. Greg Canavan, Founder and editor of Crisis & Opportunity Kim Iskyan, Founder of Truewealth Publishing and editor of Asian Investment Daily. Matt Hibbard, Editor of Total Income and Options Trader Sam Volkering, Editor of Australian Small-Cap Investigator, Revolutionary Tech Investor, and Microcap Trader Phil Anderson, Author of The Secret Life of Real Estate and Banking Editor of Cycles, Trends and Forecasts and Time Trader Senator David Leyonhjelm, Australian Senator Jim Rickards, Author of Currency Wars, The Death of Money, The Big Drop and strategist for Strategic Intelligence and Currency Wars Trader.


The goal was to gather some of the shrewdest contrarian thinkers — and a few very famous ‘rogue investors’ — together over two days. And to nut out strategies ordinary Australians can use to fight back against the financial elites who run the show. It wildly exceeded all our expectations. All 650 seats sold out. But if you couldn’t make it to the Sheraton Mirage in Port Douglas, there’s another way to hear all of startling predictions and investment ideas that emerged. It’s by claiming your own ‘Virtual Seat’ — and downloading a recorded version of the entire event. We urge you to get The Great Repression Recordings right now. Because, while a lot of the recent news can make you feel like the world is out of control: You CAN control what you do with your money. The single goal of the conference was to help you do that.

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Financial Meltdown Around The Corner? – Jim Rickards’ 2017 Outlook

 Could the next financial crisis be just around the corner? The signs of a looming meltdown are ‘unmistakable,’ this according to best-selling author Jim Rickards. Giving his 2017 outlook to Kitco News, he said the next crisis would be far worse than any previous one markets have experienced. ‘It could be a few years from now [but] it’s unlikely we’ll get 5 years; it’s been 8 years since the last one,’ he told Daniela Cambone. On gold, Rickards was a little less optimistic over the shorter term, calling for continued strength in the U.S. dollar to weigh on the metal. As for the Fed -- his not-so favorite topic – Rickards warned investors to ignore the noise. In his view, the central bank is just sounding a lot more hawkish than it will actually be in 2017.











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Get Your Money out The Banks Now before it is too late -- Jim Rickards

Jim Rickards "Listen Up! The Financial Elite Will Soon Prevent You Accessing Your Own Money!"










The jewish banking system is the root of all evil. They run the world, create imperies and destroy imperies, create wars to destroy the political leaders who stand against their new world order. Use their printed money out of nothing, to corrupt the political system and destroy democracy. They use their money to buy and run all media, promote their own agenda and to put their people in power. They has to go...



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They're Going To Lock Down The System | Jim Rickards

This week, seasoned financier, risk manager and author Jim Rickards returns to the program to share the predictions from his new book The Road To Ruin: The Global Elite's Secret Plan For The Next Financial Crisis.

Rickards warns of a coming confidence boundary in central bank omnipotence. Once breached, trust and belief in the central banking cartel quickly vaporizes. Rickards predicts that boundary will be crossed by 2018 or sooner; and when it is, the entire financial system will go into lockdown, freezing access to our money.






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Days are numbered -- Jim Rickards

Jim Rickards is an American lawyer. He is a regular commentator on finance, and is the author of The New York Times bestseller Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, published in ... Wikipedia




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TRUTH BEHIND THE CENTRAL BANKS RUN ON GOLD REVEALED BY CIA ADVISOR JIM RICKARDS

im Rickards, Financial Threat and Asymmetric Warfare Advisor and best selling author joins Gary Franchi to disclose the truth behind the global central banks run on gold and what it means for you.











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Jim Rickards -- Obama Ending Alliance with Saudi Arabia and Killing the Petrodollar

Jim Rickards 2 24 2016 Obama Ending Alliance with Saudi Arabia and Killing the Petrodollar











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Jim Rickards Why 2016 Will Be the Year of the Boomerang

James G. Rickards is an American lawyer. He is a regular commentator on finance, and is the author of The New York Times bestseller Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, published in ... Wikipedia






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Jim Rickards -- Chinese Yuan Will Replace U.S. Dollar As Reserve Currency

James G. Rickards is an American lawyer. He is a regular commentator on finance, and is the author of The New York Times bestseller Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis




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