Thursday, December 22, 2016
ECONOMIC COLLAPSE 2017 : Bond Bubble is Epic -- Michael Pento
ECONOMIC COLLAPSE 2017 : Bond Bubble is Epic -- Michael Pento
There is a record bubble in bonds, and money manager Michael Pento warns, “Where’s the 10-year Treasury right now? It was 1.3%, and now it’s around 2.6%. We’re going to 4% on the 10-year Treasury. That, by definition, is an absolute bursting of the bond bubble. The problem is this: All assets are priced off of the ‘risk free’ rate of return, ‘risk free’ rate of return on sovereign debt. All asset prices were priced off 1.3% of the 10-year Treasury, or a negative 40 basis points on the Japanese 10-year, or negative yielding German bunds, all assets, and yes that includes real estate and stocks. So, the bond bubble is epic. It is that big in proportion, and it is now bursting.”
Pento goes on to warn, “The real estate market is starting to go off-line. If you look at new home starts, they were down 19% in November month over month. There is no more refinancing market. It’s gone off-line. The initial purchase applications have flat lined. . . . As the housing market goes, so goes the economy. While the Dow and the S&P 500 have surged after November 9th, after Trump was elected, emerging markets are down 8%. . . . The emerging market economies and their currencies are crashing, and that is where I see the epicenter of the bubble breaks.”
In closing, Pento says, “This stronger dollar and this rise in Treasury yields is not going to last very long. They are going to have to reverse course. When they do, they are going to temporarily bring that yield back down. They are going to create unprecedented inflation like you have never seen before--even worse that the 1970’s. You are going to want to have gold at that juncture.”
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