Saturday, September 21, 2019
What is the Difference between Recession & Depression ?
What is the difference between a recession and a depression . A Recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy lasting for more than a few months. It is characterized by fall in GDP, fall in income, fall in production, increase in unemployment etc. A common rule of thumb for ascertaining recession is continuous 2 quarters of negative GDP growth. It happens frequently. It normally strikes different countries at different time periods. A recession is a macroeconomic term that refers to a significant decline in general economic activity in a designated region. It is typically recognized after two consecutive quarters of economic decline, as reflected by GDP in conjunction with monthly indicators like employment. Recessions are officially declared in the U.S. by a committee of experts at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), who determines the peak and subsequent trough of the business cycle which demonstrates the recession. Recessions are visible in industrial production, employment, real income, and wholesale-retail trade. The working definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth as measured by a country's gross domestic product (GDP), although the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) does not necessarily need to see this occur to call a recession, and uses more frequently reported monthly data to make its decision, so quarterly declines in GDP do not always align with the decision to declare a recession. A Depression refers to phase of economic activity where falling production and incomes lead to fall in demand and therefore fall in prices. Once it starts it is self generating. This is what happened during great depression of 1929–1932. It is recession only but much more severe and long lasting. Rule of thumb for ascertaining depression is a 10% or more decline in GDP. It is not very frequent. When it happens it strikes world economy as a whole. A depression is a severe and prolonged downturn in economic activity. In economics, a depression is commonly defined as an extreme recession that lasts three or more years or leads to a decline in real gross domestic product (GDP) of at least 10 percent. Recession is a very prominent word around the globe since 2008. When an economy slows , production at national level stops and demand becomes low of all goods on an average, recession is said to occur. This happens when cost of raw materials is high, labor is expensive, land acquisition is difficult, electricity is difficult to access, market is distant, transportation is costlier, government isn't supportive and has imposed several taxes or tariffs, or any other reason. Now we apply, basic demand-supply relationship and conclude that due to low production , supply prices go up for a given demand function of the society. At higher prices, not all can consume the same goods and in same quantities as they were doing so earlier. So now people either shift to cheaper substitutes (for example, if wheat becomes expensive people switch to millet which is cheaper) or they reduce their consumption .For example, people spend less on luxuries as more is being spent on subsistence, or do both. This condition over long run is, theoretically, said to adjust by a corresponding decrease in demand such that equilibrium in the market is restored but definitely at a lower price and lower quantity. And this decrease in demand would occur due to too much spending on necessities and not on luxuries. This too much spending is called inflation which is very eminent during recession. It is a known fact that profit margin is lesser for necessary goods and gigantic for luxury goods. As a result, sellers and producers of daily commodities won't grow richer by high prices whereas the producers of luxury goods would definitely be on the losing side. This loss in businesses would begin a vicious circle. This is so because workers would demand higher wages due to rise in prices and producers won't have any remaining surplus thereafter, for the next round of production. Thus, producers are unable to lower their prices as their total cost has increased (due to increased wages, rise in prices of goods which were being used as inputs, transportation cost) and therefore, increase the prices further. This further encourages the workers to ask for higher wages and a wage-price spiral settles in the economy which encourages the producers to expel few workers so as to minimize cost as production has also gone down and expenses are already sky rocketing. However like I mentioned before eventually an economy is assumed to come out of this due to corrective measures. For example, government interventions like subsidizing daily commodities, boosting the manufacturing sector by providing cheaper loans, restricting imports to help the domestic producers sell their produce in domestic market without competition and so on. If these corrective measures are timely and citizens are rationally acting towards it, then a crisis is said to be a recession as there's optimism that economy can overcome these challenges. But sometimes, overhead costs are already too high (say, producers didn't invest much in stock market then yields will be smaller or took too many loans during production) and government is lethargic in reacting. This makes a recession a depression as then the economy becomes so low-footed that remedies prove to be ineffective. A depression is simply a longer, and more severe recession. All economies go through cycles of booms and recessions. Thus, recessions are a normal part of economics. A recession is typically when the GDP - Gross Domestic Product - reduces for two or more consecutive quarters (6 months). A recession is an economic slowdown; when companies are cutting down on production, due to over-supply, or perhaps lack of demand. If companies are cutting down on supply, they might not need more workers, and thus they stop hiring or laying off workers. That starts off a new spiral of low demand. (Because if workers are laid off, their income reduces and if income reduces, consumption of goods reduces, which reduces demand, and companies further cut down on production) While a recession can be considered a normal part of an economic cycle, depressions are not. They are more severe, and longer. There is usually a very high-unemployment rate, a severe GDP decline (larger than in the case of a recession), stock market crashes, production decline and other indicators.
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“once a standing army is established, in any country, the people lose their liberty.”
George Mason
“Military men are dumb, stupid animals to be used as pawns for foreign policy.”
Henry Kissinger
“If you are an ordinary person, then you can prepare yourself for war by moving to the countryside and building a farm, but you must take guns with you, as the hordes of starving will be roaming. Also, even though the elite will have their safe havens and specialist shelters, they must be just as careful during the war as the ordinary civilians, because their shelters can still be compromised.”
Henry Kissinger
"We don't let them have ideas. Why would we let them have guns?" Joseph Stalin
The people who cast the votes decide nothing. The people who count the votes decide everything.
Joseph Stalin
Governments keep a lot of secrets from their people . . .
Why aren't the people in return allowed to keep secrets
from the government?
PHILIP ZIMMERMAN, DER SPIEGEL
“Some call it Communism, I call it Judaism.”
Rabbi Stephen Weiss
“Anti-Communism is Anti-Semitism.”
Jewish Voice, July - August 1941
Taxing People is Punishing Success
UNKNOWN
There's the rich, the poor, and the tax payers...also known as the middle class. Robert Kiyosaki
The Tax you pay is The Bill for Staying Stupid
Stefan Molyneux
“The modern banking system manufactures money out of nothing. The process is, perhaps, the most astounding piece of sleight of hand that was ever invented. Banks can in fact inflate, mint and un-mint the modern ledger-entry currency.” Major L L B Angus
The few who understand the system will either be so interested in its profits or so dependent on its favours that there will be no opposition from that class, while on the other hand, the great body of the people mentally incapable of comprehending the tremendous advantage that capital derives from the system will bear its burdens without complaint and perhaps without even suspecting that the system is inimical to their interests.
The Rothschild Bros
"Debts must be collected, bonds and mortgages must be foreclosed as rapidly as possible. When, through a process of law, the common people lose their homes they will become more docile and more easily governed through the influence of the strong arm of government, applied by a central power of wealth under control of leading financiers.
This truth is well known among our principal men now engaged in forming an imperialism of Capital to govern the world.
By dividing the voters through the political party system, we can get them to expend their energies in fighting over questions of no importance. Thus by discreet action we can secure for ourselves what has been so well planned and so successfully accomplished."
USA Banker's Magazine, August 25 1924
Cutting Tax Rates stimulates Economic Growth creates more Profit , more Jobs and therefore The Treasury ends up with more Tax Money
UNKNOWN
Taxation is legalized Theft
UNKNOWN
"The Objective of the Bank is not the control of a conflict , it's the control of the debt that a conflict produces . The real value of a conflict , the true value is in the debt that it creates . You control the debt , you control everything . this is THE VERY ESSENCE OF THE BANKING INDUSTRY , to make us all , whether we be nations or individuals , SLAVES TO DEBT " An UNKNOWN Banker
Patriotism is the last refuge... to which the scoundrel clings .... Steal a little and they throw you in jail ..steal a lot and they make you king ....
Bob Dylan
"Corporations are stealing billions in tax breaks, while the confused, screwed citizenry turn on each other. International corporations have no national allegiance, they care only for profit." Robert Reich
There is NO political answer to a spiritual problem!
Steve Quayle
Political Correctness is a Political Stand Point that does not allow Political Opposition , This is actually The Definition of Dictatorship
Gilad Atzmon
The modern definition of racist is someone who is winning an argument with a liberal
Peter Brimelow
When People lose everything and have nothing left to lose , They Lose It !
GERALD CELENTE
Your Greatest Teacher is Your Last Mistake
DAVID ICKE
The one who Controls the Education System , Controls Perception UNKNOWN
"The world will not be destroyed by those who do evil, but by those who watch them without doing anything."
Albert Einstein
UNKNOWN
No man escapes when freedom fails; The best men rot in filthy jails. And those that cried 'Appease! Appease!' Are hanged by those they tried to please
UNKNOWN
Freedom is not Free
UNKNOWN
Don't Steal The Government Hates The Competition
Ron Paul
"Buy The Rumor , Sell The Fact " Peter Schiff
You can love your Country and not your Government
Jesse Ventura
" The Government Works for ME , I do not answer to them They Answer to ME "
Glenn Beck
"Tyranny will Come to Your Door in a Uniform "
Alex Jones
"The Government is not The Solution to our Problems , The Government is The Problem "
Ronald Reagan
"The price good men pay for indifference to public affairs is to be ruled by evil men." Plato
The world is a tragedy to those that feel, and a comedy to those that think...Beppe Grillo
"The people should not fear the government for it is the government who should fear the people" UNKNOWN
"If You are looking for solutions to the world's problems , look in the Mirror , You Are The Solution , You have the power as a human being on this planet " UNKNOWN
"They don't control us , We empower them " UNKNOWN
"Serial Killers do on a Small Scale What Governments do on a large one..."
Serial Killer Richard Ramirez
"When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty."
Thomas Jefferson
Albert Einstein
Schools manufacture people who think that they're smart but they're not.
Robert Kiyosaki
Education is what you learn after you leave School
Robert Kiyosaki
" Schools were designed to create employees for the big corporations."
Robert Kiyosaki
"If a law is unjust, a man is not only right to disobey, he is obligated to do so" Thomas Jefferson
Dissent is the highest form of patriotism
Thomas Jefferson
“True education makes you feel stupid. It makes you realize you have so much more to learn.” Robert Kiyosaki
"One day your life will flash before your eyes. Make sure it's worth watching." - Gerard Way
"Aspire not to have More but to be More "
UNKNOWN
The losers in life think they have all the answers. They can’t learn because they’re too busy telling everyone what they know.
Robert T. Kiyosaki
"Failure is simply the opportunity to begin again. -This time more intelligently." Henry Ford
What You Own Owns You
UNKNOWN
If you expect the government to solve your problems, you have a problem. Robert Kiyosaki
"Those who give up their liberty for more security neither deserve liberty nor security." Benjamin Franklin
"None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free.” - Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
"Always trust someone who is seeking the truth , never trust someone who found it" Jordan Maxwell
Be The Change you want to see in The World
UNKNOWN
Failure inspires winners but defeats losers
Robert Kiyosaki
“If you are planning for a year, sow rice; if you are planning for a decade, plant trees; if you are planning for a lifetime, educate people” A Chinese Proverb
"First they came for the Socialists, and I did not speak out--
Because I was not a Socialist.
Then they came for the Trade Unionists, and I did not speak out--
Because I was not a Trade Unionist.
Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out--
Because I was not a Jew.
Then they came for me--and there was no one left to speak for me." UNKNOWN
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