Geopolitical analysis 2017: Europe

 Western Europe has an important year ahead. Many EU member states will hold elections and carry out crucial political reforms. The Union will be tested from within by nationalist and populist forces. From without, factors such as immigration, security, and even the return of hundreds of radicals will create much anxiety in Europe.


Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable.






I am scared about what is happening here in Europe. Maybe you don't read much history, but I do, and Europeans have been killing each other for millennia before the post WW2 period and the EU. Last time we saw nationalism on the rise in Europe, bad things happened. A particular dude with a weird mustache was involved.



Western Europe has an important here 0:02 ahead many EU member states will hold 0:05 elections and carry out crucial 0:07 political reforms the union will be 0:09 tested from within by nationalists and 0:11 populist forces from without factors 0:14 such as immigration security and even 0:16 the return of hundreds of former isis 0:18 members will create much anxiety in 0:21 Europe in part one of the analysis we 0:24 will go over the challenges that Western 0:26 Europe faces in 2017 the next episode 0:29 will focus on Eastern Europe and Russia 0:32 my name is Sherman and welcome to 0:34 caspian report if you want to help our 0:36 channel to produce more original content 0:38 like this please check out our 0:40 fundraising page at patreon.com / kappa 0:43 p.m. report as explained in the Middle 0:46 East report the gradual decline of Isis 0:48 in Syria and Iraq will force therefore 0:50 members to return to their European host 0:53 patient's harboring violent intentions 0:55 for instance in 2016 more than 200 0:59 radical fighters returned from the 1:01 Middle East to the United Kingdom alone 1:03 in 2017 the number of returning jihadist 1:07 will exceed that of the previous year as 1:10 a countermeasure European intelligence 1:12 services will boost their efforts to 1:14 deal with the increased security threats 1:16 certainly many plots will be unfolded 1:19 however complete security cannot be 1:21 guaranteed it's inevitable that many 1:24 attacks will slip through the cracks as 1:26 a result in 2017 we will see a 1:29 continuation if not a search of 1:31 terrorist attacks in Western Europe 1:34 moreover these attacks will come at a 1:36 crucial time many European states are 1:39 scheduled to hold elections or past 1:41 reforms over the course of the year for 1:44 terrorist cells 2017 will be the 1:47 ultimate opportunity to exploit these 1:49 fault lines radical groups will use 1:52 terrorism 250 public agenda and shift 1:55 the political polls the objective of 1:57 these attacks is not to cause physical 1:59 damage but to polarize european 2:02 societies as well as isolate European 2:04 Muslims which will then contribute to 2:06 the recruitment of additional radical 2:09 fighters other than security threats 2:11 Western Europe 2:13 pieces and abundance of internal 2:15 complications 2:16 one example is breakfast with the 2:18 approval of the Parliament the British 2:20 leadership will implement article 50 of 2:23 the lisbon treaty in the spring of 2017 2:25 by activating the article of the UK will 2:29 begin a two-year departure course led by 2:31 the european commission 2:33 however the activation of article 50 2:35 will shake governmental policy every 2:38 detail about the xbox will be met with 2:41 opposition of a dilemma concerning 2:43 breakfast will continue to play out in 2:45 2018 and even 2019 but in 2017 as 2:50 article 50 is activated the harsh 2:53 realities of breakfast was practicing 2:55 him the level of uncertainty will 2:57 culminate in a rican national currency 3:00 and lower economic growth long as 3:02 primary objective will be to include as 3:05 many goods and services as possible in 3:07 its milk free trade agreement with 3:09 Russell's a possible outcome is that the 3:12 UK agrees to enter the e use customs 3:16 union this is a trade bloc which imposes 3:18 a common external tariff on all goods 3:21 entering the Union another showdown 3:23 between Pro and anti brexit camps will 3:26 occur there in the vote on the great 3:28 repeal bill somewhere in the summer 3:30 British lawmakers will debate whether to 3:33 instantly abolish the 1972 european 3:36 communities act which gives the laws of 3:39 the EU legal supremacy in the UK 3:42 meanwhile in France the nation will be 3:44 preoccupied with the presidential 3:46 elections scheduled for April and May 3:49 most of the candidates share a similar 3:52 policy on security and immigration and 3:55 nearly every major political party will 3:58 criticize the EU and the socialist 4:00 government the candidate disagree 4:02 however on economic policy therefore 4:05 french voters will essentially choose 4:07 whether they prefer protectionism or 4:10 free market economy among the main 4:12 contenders is left end of the National 4:14 Front her approval ratings have sharply 4:17 risen in the past few years mostly due 4:20 to her tough stance on immigration and 4:22 security another major contender 4:25 salon of the centre-right Republican 4:27 Party he served as the prime minister of 4:29 france under the sarkozy administration 4:32 in all likelihood alone will coordinate 4:35 the moderate voters against the pen and 4:38 seek to secure a victory 4:40 still even in defeat depends 4:42 anti-globalization and nationalist 4:45 sentiment will only strengthen 4:46 international 17 in Italy the 4:50 resignation of Prime Minister ng has 4:52 enabled new general elections which are 4:54 scheduled for 2018 however a major 4:57 political reform will take place in 2017 5:01 of the Constitutional Court of Italy is 5:03 most likely to approve a new legislation 5:06 to reform the electoral law which will 5:08 introduce a proportional electoral 5:10 system the new electrical system will 5:13 force political parties to form 5:15 coalition's insurance however the 5:18 changes are meant to reduce the 5:19 influence of Italy's Euroskeptic 5:21 political party the five star movement 5:24 to the north in the kingdom of the 5:26 Netherlands Dutch politicians will also 5:29 prepare for new general elections in 5:31 March although small in size the country 5:34 is one of the wealthiest members of the 5:36 EU yet 5:37 like most of Europe nationalist and 5:40 Europe skeptic forces will play a major 5:42 role in the voting process will serve 5:45 the leader of the party for freedom is 5:47 leading in the polls 5:49 however centrist the Dutch political 5:51 forces are likely to form coalition's in 5:54 an effort to prevent willders from 5:56 ascending to power but to accommodate 5:59 the coalition government and the Dutch 6:01 centrist forces are likely to refute the 6:04 authority of the European Commission 6:05 germany is another core EU member that 6:09 the hold elections in 2017 6:11 however the German parliamentary 6:13 elections are scheduled for September 6:15 and october which means that the outcome 6:17 of the elections will mostly depend on 6:19 the outcome of the French elections and 6:22 italian reforms of moderates remaining 6:24 control in Paris and Rome have been 6:27 Berlin will mostly focus on immigration 6:29 and security 6:30 however if nationalist parties will be 6:33 neighboring elections and then the 6:35 german elections will react 6:37 focus on damage control since the German 6:40 economy out stress the German people's 6:42 ability to consume the economy is 6:45 export-driven at least half of the 6:47 german gdp comes from exports and about 6:50 half of the exports are designated for 6:52 other EU members 6:54 furthermore many of the EU regulations 6:57 are designed to facilitate expert 6:59 dependency in other words Germany needs 7:02 the european union without the e use 7:05 free trade zone the country will face an 7:08 economic crisis as well as increased 7:10 social and political tensions Germany's 7:13 dependency on the European regulations 7:15 will determine Chancellor miracles 7:18 reaction to neighboring france and italy 7:20 if somehow the National Front and Paris 7:23 or the five star movement enrolled 7:25 prevails the german elections will focus 7:28 on finances stimulus packages national 7:31 currencies trade regulations and 7:33 basically start preparing the country 7:35 for a post Union environment 7:38 the thing is the moment of the national 7:40 forces gain power in France or Italy 7:43 they would organize referendums believe 7:45 the eurozone such a referendum would 7:48 even need to succeed the mirror 7:51 announcement of such an intent in a 7:53 quarry you state would trigger banks to 7:55 relocate their font across the continent 7:58 and the process the collapse of the euro 8:00 would be set in motion even if moderate 8:03 forces win the elections in 2017 the 8:07 nationalist and popular sentiment will 8:09 only grow stronger next year and 8:11 although the union can bear the 8:13 departure of Greece and the United 8:15 Kingdom it cannot survive the retro love 8:18 France or Italy we have mentioned this 8:21 before but there are just too many 8:22 conflicting interests within the 8:25 European Union its collapse may be 8:27 irreversible elsewhere in Europe the 8:30 refugee crisis will continue to divide 8:32 the nation some government will toughen 8:35 national migration laws and the pork 8:37 refugees others will seek to reintroduce 8:40 border controls within the Schengen zone 8:42 one of the leading complications of the 8:45 refugee crisis is the fact that the flow 8:47 of refugees arrived in southern European 8:51 states such as greece and italy yet the 8:53 destination of the migrants and refugees 8:56 is western and northern Europe like most 9:00 of the e use predicaments whether its 9:02 financial legislative or social there is 9:05 a lack of coordinated planning as such 9:08 european space will fail to set up a 9:11 coherent migration policy 1 prime 9:14 example of this failure is the e use 9:17 migration agreement with turkey Brussels 9:19 is supposed to grant recent 9:21 liberalisation to turkish citizens by 9:23 october 2017 9:25 however given the growing Euroskeptic 9:27 circumstances Brussels will fail to 9:30 honor its commitments to Ankara 9:32 subsequently this grant turkey the legal 9:35 rights to abandon the migration treaty 9:38 altogether but to avoid upsetting turkey 9:40 at the European Union is likely to delay 9:43 the visa liberalisation rather than to 9:46 deny it completely still however 9:48 Brussels is merely postponing a crisis 9:51 not solving one and Part two of the 9:54 European analysis we will focus on 9:57 Eastern Europe and NATO's entanglement 9:59 with Russia we will go over the 10:02 conflicts in Ukraine the militarization 10:04 of the Baltics and much more 10:06 in any case this was a casting report by 10:09 me Sherman I want to extend special 10:11 thanks to the following people on 10:13 patriotism for making this report 10:15 possible and if you want to help our 10:17 channel grow places its patreon.com / 10:20 casting report anyway thank you for 10:23 watching and sold















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“Control oil and you control nations; control food and you control the people.” Henry Kissinger


once a standing army is established, in any country, the people lose their liberty.”
George Mason

“Military men are dumb, stupid animals to be used as pawns for foreign policy.”
Henry Kissinger

“If you are an ordinary person, then you can prepare yourself for war by moving to the countryside and building a farm, but you must take guns with you, as the hordes of starving will be roaming. Also, even though the elite will have their safe havens and specialist shelters, they must be just as careful during the war as the ordinary civilians, because their shelters can still be compromised.”
Henry Kissinger

"We don't let them have ideas. Why would we let them have guns?" Joseph Stalin

The people who cast the votes decide nothing. The people who count the votes decide everything.
Joseph Stalin

Governments keep a lot of secrets from their people . . .
Why aren't the people in return allowed to keep secrets
from the government?

PHILIP ZIMMERMAN, DER SPIEGEL

“Some call it Communism, I call it Judaism.”

Rabbi Stephen Weiss

“Anti-Communism is Anti-Semitism.”
Jewish Voice, July - August 1941

Taxing People is Punishing Success
UNKNOWN

There's the rich, the poor, and the tax payers...also known as the middle class. Robert Kiyosaki

The Tax you pay is The Bill for Staying Stupid

Stefan Molyneux


“The modern banking system manufactures money out of nothing. The process is, perhaps, the most astounding piece of sleight of hand that was ever invented. Banks can in fact inflate, mint and un-mint the modern ledger-entry currency.” Major L L B Angus

The few who understand the system will either be so interested in its profits or so dependent on its favours that there will be no opposition from that class, while on the other hand, the great body of the people mentally incapable of comprehending the tremendous advantage that capital derives from the system will bear its burdens without complaint and perhaps without even suspecting that the system is inimical to their interests.
The Rothschild Bros

"Debts must be collected, bonds and mortgages must be foreclosed as rapidly as possible. When, through a process of law, the common people lose their homes they will become more docile and more easily governed through the influence of the strong arm of government, applied by a central power of wealth under control of leading financiers.

This truth is well known among our principal men now engaged in forming an imperialism of Capital to govern the world.

By dividing the voters through the political party system, we can get them to expend their energies in fighting over questions of no importance. Thus by discreet action we can secure for ourselves what has been so well planned and so successfully accomplished."

USA Banker's Magazine, August 25 1924


Cutting Tax Rates stimulates Economic Growth creates more Profit , more Jobs and therefore The Treasury ends up with more Tax Money
UNKNOWN

Taxation is legalized Theft
UNKNOWN

"The Objective of the Bank is not the control of a conflict , it's the control of the debt that a conflict produces . The real value of a conflict , the true value is in the debt that it creates . You control the debt , you control everything . this is THE VERY ESSENCE OF THE BANKING INDUSTRY , to make us all , whether we be nations or individuals , SLAVES TO DEBT " An UNKNOWN Banker

Patriotism is the last refuge... to which the scoundrel clings .... Steal a little and they throw you in jail ..steal a lot and they make you king ....

Bob Dylan


"Corporations are stealing billions in tax breaks, while the confused, screwed citizenry turn on each other. International corporations have no national allegiance, they care only for profit." Robert Reich


There is NO political answer to a spiritual problem!
Steve Quayle


Po
litical Correctness is a Political Stand Point that does not allow Political Opposition , This is actually The Definition of Dictatorship
Gilad Atzmon

The modern definition of racist is someone who is winning an argument with a liberal
Peter Brimelow


When People lose everything and have nothing left to lose , They Lose It !

GERALD CELENTE

Your Greatest Teacher is Your Last Mistake
DAVID ICKE

The one who Controls the Education System , Controls Perception
UNKNOWN

"The world will not be destroyed by those who do evil, but by those who watch them without doing anything."

Albert Einstein

In The Left Nothing is Right & in The Right nothing is Left
UNKNOWN


No man escapes when freedom fails; The best men rot in filthy jails. And those that cried 'Appease! Appease!' Are hanged by those they tried to please
UNKNOWN

Freedom is not Free
UNKNOWN

Don't Steal The Government Hates The Competition

Ron Paul

"Buy The Rumor , Sell The Fact " Peter Schiff


You can love your Country and not your Government

Jesse Ventura


" The Government Works for ME , I do not answer to them They Answer to ME "
Glenn Beck

"Tyranny will Come to Your Door in a Uniform "
Alex Jones

"The Government is not The Solution to our Problems , The Government is The Problem "

Ronald Reagan


"The price good men pay for indifference to public affairs is to be ruled by evil men." Plato


The world is a tragedy to those that feel, and a comedy to those that think...Beppe Grillo

"The people should not fear the government for it is the government who should fear the people" UNKNOWN

"If You are looking for solutions to the world's problems , look in the Mirror , You Are The Solution , You have the power as a human being on this planet " UNKNOWN

"They don't control us , We empower them " UNKNOWN

"Serial Killers do on a Small Scale What Governments do on a large one..."

Serial Killer Richard Ramirez

There is a Class War going on in America, & unfortunately, my class is winning." Warren Buffet

"When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty."

Thomas Jefferson

"College is a waste of Money"
Albert Einstein

Schools manufacture people who think that they're smart but they're not.
Robert Kiyosaki

Education is what you learn after you leave School
Robert Kiyosaki

" ‏Schools were designed to create employees for the big corporations."
Robert Kiyosaki


"If a law is unjust, a man is not only right to disobey, he is obligated to do so" Thomas Jefferson

Dissent is the highest form of patriotism
Thomas Jefferson

“True education makes you feel stupid. It makes you realize you have so much more to learn.” Robert Kiyosaki


"One day your life will flash before your eyes. Make sure it's worth watching." - Gerard Way

"Aspire not to have More but to be More "
UNKNOWN

The losers in life think they have all the answers. They can’t learn because they’re too busy telling everyone what they know.
Robert T. Kiyosaki ‏

"Failure is simply the opportunity to begin again. -This time more intelligently." Henry Ford

What You Own Owns You
UNKNOWN

If you expect the government to solve your problems, you have a problem. Robert Kiyosaki

"Those who give up their liberty for more security neither deserve liberty nor security." Benjamin Franklin

"None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free.” -
Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

"Always trust someone who is seeking the truth , never trust someone who found it" Jordan Maxwell

Be The Change you want to see in The World
UNKNOWN

Failure inspires winners but defeats losers
Robert Kiyosaki ‏

“If you are planning for a year, sow rice; if you are planning for a decade, plant trees; if you are planning for a lifetime, educate people” A Chinese Proverb

"First they came for the Socialists, and I did not speak out--
Because I was not a Socialist.

Then they came for the Trade Unionists, and I did not speak out--
Because I was not a Trade Unionist.
Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out--
Because I was not a Jew.
Then they came for me--and there was no one left to speak for me." UNKNOWN


Let me tell you why you're here. You're here because you know something. What you know you can't explain, but you feel it. You've felt it your entire life, that there's something wrong with the world. You don't know what it is, but it's there, like a splinter in your mind, driving you mad. It is this feeling that has brought you to me. Do you know what I'm talking about?


Morpheus The Matrix 1999